Description: In 1973, three brilliant economists, Fisher Black, Myron Scholes and Robert Merton, discovered a mathematical breakthrough that revolutionized modern finance. The elegant formula they unleashed upon the world was sparse and deceptively simple, yet it led to the creation of a mulit-trillion dollar industry. Their bold ideas earned them a Nobel Prize and attracted the elite of Wall Street.
In 1993, Scholes and Merton joined forces with John Merriweather, the legendary bond trader of Salomon Brothers. With 13 other partners, they launched a new hedge fund, Long Term Capital Management, that promised to use mathematical models to make investors tremendous amounts of money with little risk. Their money machines reaped fantastic profit, until their theories collided with reality, sending them spiraling out of control. This crisis threatened to bring markets around the world to the brink of callapse.
Join NOVA in the quest to turn finance into a science. Plus, trace the little-known history of predicting financial markets and go to work with some successful modern traders who rely on intuition, as well as on mathematical models.
Customer Reviews
Average Rating:
Rating: - Terrific Little Documentary
I want to second the reviewer that says much of the most interesting part of this film is the discussion about the dynamic between those who adopt purely quantitative strategies and the tried and true belief in following one's gut.
I was also quite impressed by the extent to which Trillion Dollar Bet managed to communicate using visuals. This is, after all, not a visual subject. The many shots of trading floors were no surprise. However, I took delight in seeing the wealthy investment ... Read More
Rating: - TDB, the best video on investing ever!!
This is the most engaging and informative video on the subject of trading and speculation that exists. As Jesse Livermore stated, Speculation is as old as the hills. This video captures many of the aspects of speculation and shows that the same pitfalls that small individual investors get tripped up on are the same ones that multi-billion dollar hedge funds get tripped up on. Human nature is the same at all levels. Controlling human nature creates extraordinary returns.
Rating: - Nice
Very nice video! Tells the story of LTCM. It's not a deep documentary...they don't tell the details of operations LTCM did. They only tell about the mathematic formula that they got to manage the fund.
Rating: - Biased but interesting
This program attempts to give an overview of the history and investment strategies of Long Term Capital Management, an investment firm and hedge fund that began in the mid nineties and was finally closed in 1999. The program is both interesting and informative, for it not only educates the viewer in some of the history behind quantitative finance and options trading, but it also illustrates current attitudes about mathematical modeling in finance. Quantitative finance is still a huge part of institutional ... Read More
Rating: - "Mathematics does not drive financial markets. People do."
Telling the story of Long Term Capital Management and the mathematical formula underlying its investment strategy, this NOVA special traces the development of the formula which helped to create a multi-trillion dollar industry--and its 1997 meltdown, which threatened markets around the world. In a clear presentation geared for an audience of interested novices, non-mathematicians, and financial wizards alike, NOVA explains the search for a formula which could solve the problem of risk and return in the stock ... Read More
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